The Ankler

๐ŸŽง In Search of a New Oscar Frontrunner

I game out best pic possibilities with ‘Atlantic’ critic David Sims as ‘Anora’ scores a high-profile win

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Whatโ€™s going to be our new best picture frontrunner now?

That was the question running through my mind in the moments before the big prize of the night was announced at Fridayโ€™s Critics Choice Awards. With final votes submitted nearly a month ago, I knew the showโ€™s winners couldnโ€™t possibly reflect the scandal that in just the past 10 days has engulfed Emilia Pรฉrez, which had until then been seen as Oscarโ€™s frontrunner. Still, since critics groups around the country have largely rallied behind other contenders โ€” also in votes that were finalized long before Emiliaโ€™s controversy โ€” I expected a different film to triumph. And given how uncertain this season has been, the Critics Choice winner could quite possibly emerge as the new film to beat.

Then, just moments after Wicked director Jon M. Chu accepted a very surprising best director award, the nightโ€™s best picture winner was . . . Anora, also known as the Palme dโ€™Or-winning film that was our presumed best picture frontrunner eight months ago.

Thatโ€™s the kind of awards season itโ€™s been and apparently will continue to be, with a lot of worthy films getting a lot of acclaim and none of them, thus far, establishing a definitive edge over the others. On todayโ€™s episode of the Prestige Junkie podcast, which was recorded ahead of the Critics Choice Awards, I delve into all of this uncertainty with The Atlanticโ€™s film critic David Sims.

Aside from our certainty that Emilia Pรฉrez is no longer likely to be named best picture โ€” a win that felt all but inevitable just over a week ago! โ€” we canโ€™t be all that sure about where things are headed. Sims, for one, doesnโ€™t believe Anora can go all the way, though itโ€™s one of his favorites of the year. Itโ€™s โ€œnot an Oscar movie,โ€ he says. โ€œI have gotten in fights with some other critics recently who are like, โ€˜Well, no, donโ€™t count out Anora.โ€™ And Iโ€™m like, โ€˜Iโ€™m counting out Anora.โ€™โ€

That was, of course, before last nightโ€™s win gave Anora a boost. But hey, wouldnโ€™t you rather dwell in a little mystery than march through a season that feels predictable from start to finish?

Iโ€™ll be at tonightโ€™s Producers Guild Awards (voting deadline: Jan. 30), where itโ€™s possible a different strong best picture contender will emerge, while tonightโ€™s Directors Guild Awards (voting deadline: Feb. 7) could point us in yet another direction. Weโ€™ll have a fresh episode about all of this on Tuesday. For now, though, listen as David and I discuss what makes a film a good best picture winner, why the Oscars sometimes get it wrong, and what the best-case scenario is for this awards race in particular.


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