The Ankler

โ˜€๏ธDIS+ AI Infusion Coming, As Movies ๐Ÿ˜ฉ, Streaming ๐Ÿ‘ in Q3

DIS+ AI user-gen content ahead, โ€˜Liloโ€™ scores in products, Theme Parks show resilience and more

So, who wants some money!? ๐Ÿค‘

While Bob Iger didnโ€™t open the Q3 earnings call like that . . . it wouldnโ€™t have hurt given the Q3 numbers today. Such promises would also have likely gotten Rushfield to tune into future earnings calls, finally.

Today, DISNEYโ€™s definitely buying us a nice lunch as it clearly has some cash lying around โ€” pulling 2 levers it knows Wall Street generally likes to hear, in conjunction with releasing its Q3 numbers (DISNEYโ€™s FY25 Q4):

  • DIVIDEND INCREASE (free money DISNEY gives you for each share of stock you own): Itโ€™s getting a 50% boost to $1.50 in FY26.

  • STOCK BUYBACKS: Itโ€™s authorizing itself to buyback up to $7B in DISNEY shares in FY26, which would be 2x the amount it did in FY25.

    • In theory, having fewer shares out there in the market to buy makes the still existing float more valuable.

However, Wall Street wasnโ€™t biting given the flat total Q3 DISNEY revenue YoY and other numbers that Iโ€™ll dive into shortly, putting DIS stock -8% so far today.

Iger also curiously chose to lead his comments on the earnings call with the movie business, whose financials turned from a profit to a loss in Q3. Youโ€™ll be surprised to hear that Tron: Ares wasnโ€™t mentioned (ok yes, that was a Q4 movie, technically).

  • BUT: Certainly a nice vote of confidence to kick things off with the oldest business in the business, and mainly there to remind forward-looking Wall Street about whatโ€™s ahead (Zootopia 2, Avatar, Prada 2, Mandalorian, Toy Story 5, Moana, Avengers).

  • ALSO: If you want a snapshot at what a theatrical movie can do to juice other business lines โ€” Lilo & Stitch made $1B at the box office this year . . . but $4B in consumer products revenue. Although in the end, itโ€™s all about the artistic integrity and staying true to the storytelling canon, of course.

As usual, Iโ€™ll start with the topline items, including:

  • Content spend plans

  • #cordcutting losses

  • The curious AI comments about what theyโ€™re working on

  • Some notable things in the HULU numbers and much more

Then Iโ€™ll dive into whatโ€™s going on with the numbers in each division, including:

  • The #notgreatBob movie biz numbers, and how this business is becoming more important on a quarterly basis given overall DISNEY trends.

  • How DISNEYโ€™s linear TV exposure now stacks up with others around town, and the companyโ€™s still impressive streaming growth โ€” esp. over a longer time horizon.

  • How much money the theme parks are making this time (sorry, media โ€” not seeing much consumer spending pullback here #DISNEYsoexpensive), and more.

So, letโ€™s get moving.

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